Horse Racing: The Secret Of The Complexity Of Racing Because Of Handicapping And Profitcapping
Racing's complex and it needs to be simplified to make it more graspable.
To most players racing's complexity is insurmountable even after 10-20 years in the game.
Nothing seems to fall into place to get those winning horses and make that extra dollar.
Why is racing so complex on the handicapping side? Because you're trying to predict the behavior of two animals (horses and humans) racing on a track which is complex using partially inaccurate limited amounts of information.
Of which some of it is quite inaccurate.
Simple mechanics won't solve this as so many players have found out.
Such as the manner in which the track people select the winning horse(s) at the finish line because the camera line isn't above the track looking down over their nose and their feet hoofs is inaccurate.
What does this mean? It means that there's a double limit to predicting the outcome of races.
(1) it's limited even if you have THE most accurate information possible.
(2) because there are inaccuracies in the information that you do have because of how the information is gathered and the power to predict is double difficult.
Every factor and angle has a level of inaccuracy.
Each one is a powerful factor but each one is limited for 2-3 reasons.
Every one of them.
So this makes your options limited in handicapping to about 2-3 things.
(1) find out the main thing that can predict the outcome of races.
The answer to this is: Field Size.
Each field size has in each order of finish position (1st, 2nd, 3rd, etc.
), each track, each race type, etc.
their own percent when a simple but large statistical sample is taken.
(2) to have an accurate perspective in racing you must use basic statistics and basic arithmetic of which you're already using in the daily racing form.
In other words: what's the strengths in percent of any handicap method you're going to use to play any given order of finish position? On the money side of racing you're out to make a profit (Profitcapping).
which isn't handicapping.
You're not trying to predict the specific horses that'll come across the wire in some order.
The options in this major half of racing is also limited.
(1) you must find out: how's the money structured in the game? The answer to that is: the money flows byField Size.
(2) what investment instruments (win, place, show, exacta, pick 3, pick 4, pick 6, etc.
) do you intend to play? To continue (3) what's the money amount in each investment instrument over months and years.
This is how to understand the complexity of racing.
The complexity of racing breaks down into two main things or two halves.
The handicapping aspects of the racing contest and the money aspects of racing.
Put everything about predicting the outcome a race on one side and put everything about making money or return on investment on the other side.
Otherwise things will remain scrambled and you won't be able to make heads or heels of the matter.
This is the secret of how to understand the complexity of racing.
To most players racing's complexity is insurmountable even after 10-20 years in the game.
Nothing seems to fall into place to get those winning horses and make that extra dollar.
Why is racing so complex on the handicapping side? Because you're trying to predict the behavior of two animals (horses and humans) racing on a track which is complex using partially inaccurate limited amounts of information.
Of which some of it is quite inaccurate.
Simple mechanics won't solve this as so many players have found out.
Such as the manner in which the track people select the winning horse(s) at the finish line because the camera line isn't above the track looking down over their nose and their feet hoofs is inaccurate.
What does this mean? It means that there's a double limit to predicting the outcome of races.
(1) it's limited even if you have THE most accurate information possible.
(2) because there are inaccuracies in the information that you do have because of how the information is gathered and the power to predict is double difficult.
Every factor and angle has a level of inaccuracy.
Each one is a powerful factor but each one is limited for 2-3 reasons.
Every one of them.
So this makes your options limited in handicapping to about 2-3 things.
(1) find out the main thing that can predict the outcome of races.
The answer to this is: Field Size.
Each field size has in each order of finish position (1st, 2nd, 3rd, etc.
), each track, each race type, etc.
their own percent when a simple but large statistical sample is taken.
(2) to have an accurate perspective in racing you must use basic statistics and basic arithmetic of which you're already using in the daily racing form.
In other words: what's the strengths in percent of any handicap method you're going to use to play any given order of finish position? On the money side of racing you're out to make a profit (Profitcapping).
which isn't handicapping.
You're not trying to predict the specific horses that'll come across the wire in some order.
The options in this major half of racing is also limited.
(1) you must find out: how's the money structured in the game? The answer to that is: the money flows byField Size.
(2) what investment instruments (win, place, show, exacta, pick 3, pick 4, pick 6, etc.
) do you intend to play? To continue (3) what's the money amount in each investment instrument over months and years.
This is how to understand the complexity of racing.
The complexity of racing breaks down into two main things or two halves.
The handicapping aspects of the racing contest and the money aspects of racing.
Put everything about predicting the outcome a race on one side and put everything about making money or return on investment on the other side.
Otherwise things will remain scrambled and you won't be able to make heads or heels of the matter.
This is the secret of how to understand the complexity of racing.
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